Responsable
Yves Bergeron
Collaborateurs
Pierre Grondin, Fabio Gennaretti, Rock Ouimet, Marie-Hélène Brice, Yan Boulanger, Philippe Nolet, Christine Martineau
Étudiants
Julia Cigana, Clemence Pierrard, Maxence Soubeyrand, Corentin Jean-Roger Juanole, Chloé Fiset
Problématique
La réponse des espèces (migration vs adaptation) aux changements globaux (oscillations climatiques et régime des perturbations) est au centre des préoccupations scientifiques au niveau international. Le cadre conceptuel du projet s'articule autour de la capacité des peuplements marginaux fragmentés à répondre efficacement aux changements climatiques.
Objectifs
L'objectif général du projet est d’améliorer notre compréhension de l'influence relative du climat et des perturbations sur la dynamique des peuplements fragmentés à la transition entre les forêts tempérées et boréales et de caractériser leur réponse écologique et génétique face aux changements climatiques en cours.
Méthodologie
Nous travaillons sur l’érable à sucre, le cèdre blanc, le frêne noir, le bouleau jaune. Ces essences ont été sélectionnées car elles comportent des peuplements très fragmentés le long d’un gradient latitudinal. Le projet aborde la problématique selon trois questions complémentaires soit :
- à l’échelle de l’Holocène, depuis combien de temps les peuplements fragmentés sont-ils présents dans les zones d’étude ?
- Comment se comparent la reproduction et la croissance des peuplements marginaux par rapport aux peuplements continus? Quels sont les facteurs qui limitent leur expansion? et
- Modélisation du comportement des peuplements de feuillus tempérés dans une matrice coniférienne.
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Retombées escomptées
Prédictions des effets des changements climatiques sur la composition de la forêt boréale. Recommandation quant aux objectifs de l’aménagement écosystémique dans le contexte des changements climatiques.
Applicabilité
Interface entre la forêt tempérée (érablière) et boréale (sapinière)
Livrables
Isabelle Visnadi, Johann Housset, Cécile Leroy, Christopher Carcaillet, Hugo Asselin, Yves Bergeron. Limited recruitment of eastern white cedar (Thuja occidentalis L.) under black spruce canopy at its northern distribution limit. 2019. Ecoscience 26(2):123-132
DOI : 10.1080/11956860.2018.1529725
In the boreal forest of eastern North America, the distribution of eastern white cedar (Thuja occidentalis) is characterized by a latitudinal fragmentation gradient from south to north. Marginal populations could be outposts allowing cedar to expand its presence in the north in response to climate change. This study aimed to characterize the spatio-temporal regeneration dynamics of 20 marginal cedar stands in order to evaluate their expansion capacity into adjacent black spruce stands. Cedar recruitment within marginal cedar stands was mainly by layering, which allowed the species to maintain for a long time in the landscape. However, the rate of expansion of marginal stands into adjacent black spruce stands through seed dispersal was very low (0.28 m.year?1) and it was negatively influenced by distance to seed trees. Substrate had no significant effect. Global warming could lead to increased seed production by cedar, which could favour the species’ expansion at its northern distribution limit. However, global warming could also increase the frequency and severity of wildfires, which would have a negative effect on cedar expansion capacity.
Bronwyn Rayfield, Véronique Paul, Francine Tremblay, Marie-Josée Fortin, Christelle Hely-Alleaume, Yves Bergeron. Influence of habitat availability and fire disturbance on a
northern range boundary. 2020. J. of Biogeography 48(2):394-404
DOI : 10.1111/jbi.14004
Aim
Non?climatic constraints on species northern range boundaries are often overlooked in attempts to predict climate?induced range shifts. Here, we examined the effects of habitat availability and fire disturbance on the distribution of a species that transitions from being common to being found only in marginal populations at the northern boundary of its range.
Location
North?western Quebec, Canada (46–51° N and 74–79° W).
Taxon : Eastern white cedar (Thuja occidentalis L.)
Methods
We used forest inventory data (n = 4,987) to characterize white?cedar habitat based on edaphic and topographic conditions at sampled sites along a 600?km latitudinal gradient. Non?metric multidimensional scaling was used to assess habitat similarity of sites in the south, where white?cedar stands are abundant, and sites in the north, where white?cedar stands are rare. We constructed ensemble white cedar distribution models based on habitat variables in the south and compared ensemble forecast projections of white cedar in the north with observed occurrences to determine if habitat availability was limiting. We independently estimated the age of white?cedar stands and adjacent stands without white cedar along the gradient. ANOVA was performed to test the age difference between white?cedar and adjacent stands to determine whether the location of white?cedar stands was influenced by disturbance, primarily stand?replacing fire.
Results
Habitat availability was not limiting the distribution of eastern white cedar at its northern range boundary. White cedar did not occupy most sites with suitable habitat in the north, suggesting that other factors prevent white cedar from establishing more stands northward. White?cedar stands were older than adjacent stands without white cedar all along the gradient, but the difference was more pronounced in the north. This suggests that white?cedar stands in the north are restricted to undisturbed areas.
Main conclusions
Fire disturbance, more than habitat availability, limits the distribution of white cedar at its northern range boundary. Projections of white cedar distribution under climate change that ignore fire could overestimate the ability of warming temperatures to extend its northern range limit.
Avancement
En cours
Organismes subventionnaires
MFFP, CRSNG-Alliance, Produits forestiers Arbec , Chantiers Chibougamau, Commonwealth Plywood Ltee
Financement annuel
En cours
Durée
2018-2029
Dernière mise à jour :
2024-04-12 14:26:14
